Interrelation of Models of Socio-Economic Formations and
Global Population Growth
Volume 4 - Issue 3
Vladimir Sergeevich Grodsky*
- Samara State Polytechnic University, Russia
Received:May 29, 2021; Published: June 16, 2021
Corresponding author:Vladimir Sergeevich Grodsky, Samara State Polytechnic University, Russia
DOI: 10.32474/JAAS.2021.04.000186
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Abstract
A new model of historical socio-economic formations, fully presented by the author earlier [1], is briefly and summarized. The
connection of this model with a new model of global population growth, developed as a result of a critical analysis of the four most
famous demographic models - the Halley, Malthus, Shklovsky and Pearl-Reed models, which were created at different times and
are generally united in attempts to select a mathematical function, is revealed. most suitable for displaying only the current mode
of population reproduction. It is shown that the reason for the poor quality of these models is their consideration of the size of
the human population in the time coordinate. The position is substantiated that the real main factor of population growth should
be considered the indicator of the level of institutional and technological development of society, which is proposed to be used in
demographic modeling. The correspondence of five phases in the ratio of fertility and mortality of the population to the historical
stages of development of social production has been established.
Keywords:Production Technology; ‘Sociology’ of Production; Socio Economic Formation; The Equation of The Economic State
of Society; The Level of Institutional and Technological Culture; ‘Demographic Revolution; The Logistic Function of Population
Growth; The Economic Law of Population
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